The 2019 Current Aircraft Finance Market Outlook forecasts another year of stable growth and funding diversification. Boeing is expected to increase the production rate of its 737 from 47 per month in 2017 to 52 per month in 2018 and 57 per month in 2019.2 Travel demand (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) increased at a CAGR of 5.1 percent over the last 10 years. Tagged as Boeing, CMO, Current Market Outlook, market forecast. In addition to new aircraft delivery financing, the secondary aircraft market represents a significant financing and investment opportunity. During 2018, 50 percent of Boeing deliveries involving lessors were sale leaseback (SLB) transactions, while the other half were from lessors’ direct orders. While enhanced equipment trust certificate (EETC) transactions are down relative to previous years, this has been offset by increased capital market borrowing by highly-rated lessors. Media has already highlighted the main points: ~26,000 new aircraft will be delivered with a market value of ~3,200bn$. Offi cial Airline Guide data shows that the global network connects all countries in the world: 3,190 cities and 3,250 airports. Change ). If market dynamics remain consistent it is expected that this trend will continue into 2019 with sufficient third-party financing to support new deliveries. Commercial Aircraft Market World Outlook, 2019-2038 Featuring Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, Embraer & ATR Email Print Friendly Share November 12, 2019 06:14 ET | … Through September, global air cargo capacity was down by almost one quarter because of passenger widebody network reductions. Last year saw the expansion of global participation in aircraft financing, increased capacity for pre-delivery payment and mezzanine debt financing, and the continued maturity of the global aircraft financing legal framework; these trends are expected to continue in 2019. The ILO's World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2018 examines the current state of the labour market, assessing the most recent developments and making global and regional projections of unemployment, vulnerable employment and working poverty. Previously concentrated in North America and Europe, interest in funding aircraft is now global, with a particular rise recently in Asia. 20-Year Market Outlook. OSHKOSH, Wis., July 23, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Boeing [NYSE: BA] today released its 2018 Pilot & Technician Outlook, projecting demand for 790,000 pilots over the next 20 years. Market Evolution! Where in our 2017 –2027 forecast we projected an nual growth averaging 3.4 percent, our current outlook ratchets up that yearly increase to 3.7 percent. Title: Slide 1 Author: Michael L. Warner Created Date: 4/27/2012 10:06:16 AM Boeing Current Market Outlook Revealed at Paris Air Show 2017. by admin | Jun 20, 2017 | Boeing, Boeing Current Market Outlook. We see that same resilience in the first half of 2010 as the industry rebounds from the recent severe downturn. Mining Industry Outlook 2018. They used to include such a slide in previous years’ presentations. The sector’s overall strength has been bolstered by the continued trend of unsecured borrowing, with more than 70 percent of all capital market transactions in 2018 being unsecured. Wherever. ️ Our 2018 # Boeing Commercial Market Outlook has been released and the future is bright! Boeing dividend (Updated 12/07/2018): Dividends has been paid continuously since 1973 and increased for 7 consecutive years. Staying current The Boeing Current Market Outlook describes our long-term forecast for air transport. However, yields were up more than 40% and overall air cargo industry revenues were over … A slowing pace of regulatory changes, combined with attractive risk-adjusted returns, has encouraged banks to deploy capital into the aviation sector. Agenda! Growth in this segment is expected as additional market participants provide more coverage solutions. 2 Current Market Outlook 2014–2033 Outlook on a page World regions Key indicators and new airplane markets Regions Asia P a c i fi c North America Europe Middle East Latin America CIS Africa World World economy (gross domestic product [GDP])% 4.4 2.5 1.9 3.8 3.9 3.3 4.7 3.2 The Boeing Archives Presents Video Series. ( Log Out /  Yet recovery has followed quickly as the industry reliably returned to its long-term growth rate of approximately 5 percent per year. For years, Boeing has been dowplaying in its CMO the demand for the segment of the large aircraft (seen as mainly 747, A380 and some other high capacity aircraft, depending on the manufacturer). Myers added that this growth in need for aircraft financing is expected to be met in a variety of ways. An epic eight-part documentary series 100 years in the making. Boeing Capital created the Current Aircraft Finance Market Outlook (CAFMO) to provide a forecast of the sources of financing for new commercial airplane deliveries (for aircraft 90 seats or above) in the coming year as well as the industry’s total delivery financing requirements over the next five years. Box 3707, MC 21-28 Seattle, WA 98124-2207 USA Boeing Current Market Outlook 2004 2 Overview Overview This assessment estimates the jet airplane capacity to meet the projected growth in travel demand, plus the replacement market for older in-service airplanes. Each outlook, focused on a particular part of our business, offers Boeing's perspective on key trends and variables that affect our view of the markets we serve. Yet recovery has followed quickly as the industry reliably returned to its long-term growth rate of approximately 5 percent per year. OSHKOSH, Wis., July 23, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- Boeing [NYSE: BA] today released its 2018 Pilot & Technician Outlook, projecting demand for 790,000 pilots over the next 20 years. This represents double the current workforce and the most significant demand in the outlook's nine-year history. Current Situation! Twitter Facebook Boeing’s global reach includes customers in approximately 150 countries and employees and operations in more than 65 countries. Per Airbus' current outlook, the world will need more than 34,899 new planes, worth $5.3 trillion, between 2017 and 2036. Most common letters in English and Spanish are... Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Spain License, You can see that the total number of new aircraft delivered has slightly increased from 40,110 to. 1. Commercial aviation has weathered many downturns in the past. Commercial aviation has weathered many downturns in the past. nearly 50 years of published editions of the Boeing Current Market Outlook. | OneTrust Cookie Settings. ... Boeing's Forecast. Capital market activity increased over the past year, accounting for nearly 28 percent of new delivery financing. Introduced in 2017, it has become a growth area for aviation finance. Six months into the COVID-19 crisis, the picture remains dynamic and still subject to many unknowns, from the trajectory of the virus and potential vaccines or therapies to economic recovery regionally and globally. This year, Génial l'hommage à Chuck Yeager dans l'issue de Janvier d' @. Superior value, efficient market coverage Current Boeing Future Boeing 777-8X 777-9X Seat Capacity Environmental Responsibility Operations & Maint. Outlook for M&A activity in 2018 15 Global aerospace and defense ... with Airbus likely to ramp up production of its A320neo in 2018. In 2019, it is expected that export credit agency funding will continue to account for a small share of aircraft financing, as markets are anticipated to remain healthy and resilient. Each year, we start with the latest economic and market conditions, then project ahead 20 years ... format and a printable version of the whole site is available in PDF format using the links in the right-hand panel of each page. The mining industry is ending the year strongly, with evident upward trends for key activities such as exploration, financing and M&A, with the industry's market capitalization and commodity prices increasing for much of 2017, after a period of stabilization in 2016. level. Some months ago, Boeing published its equivalent study, the Current Market Outlook (PDF, 8.2MB) for the same period.. Very strong market in 2017 4.1B* passengers carried 7.6% RPK growth 9% FTK growth 81.2%* load factor 3.1% economic growth $35B net profit Overview 5 OUTLOOK CONTENT The Boeing Current Market Outlookis organized in four major sections: State of the Industry, Traffic and Economics, Demand for Commercial Airplanes, and data Appendices. I will come back to that in a following post. Combining historical analysis with projections to 2030, the report examines key areas of interest such as electric vehicle and charging infrastructure deployment, ownership costs, energy use, CO2 emissions and battery materials demand. (2) These two ratios, 4.1% fleet demand and 4.7% traffic growth, point to an implicit increase in the average size of the aircraft in fleet and / or a higher utilization of the aircraft (higher availability). Review of Boeing Current Market Outlook 2018. NameOmitted wrote:The question this leaves me with is, how is Boeing going to respond to its own outlook? I have just compared the figures for passenger aircraft of the last two years’ CMOs: Some comments to it: You can see that the total number of new aircraft delivered has slightly… Despite uncertainties, 2011 passenger traffic rose 6 percent above 2010 levels. The insurance market, which provides aircraft non-payment insurance (ANPI) to banks and capital market investors, is a new and efficient source of financing that complements other funding sources. Moving forward, the lessors’ growing order book for new generation airplanes and significant competition in the SLB market should meaningfully increase the share of direct purchase aircraft. Two weeks ago, on the second day of Farnborough air show, Boeing Commercial published its yearly update of the Current Market Outlook (CMO) for the next 20 years of commercial aircraft market (2018-2037). Commercial aviation has weathered many downturns in the past. Copyright @ 2018 Boeing. Ampofo explained that the pilot and technician outlook (PTO) represented "the global demand forecast for pilots, technicians, and cabin crew and it's based on the future fleet growth projections over the next 20 years." Lessors continue to utilize the asset-backed security (ABS) market, which is on pace to match the previous year’s $6B in financings. Our 2018 Boeing Commercial Market Outlook has been released and the future is bright! He said Boeing tabulates the current market outlook and marries it with the demand for aircraft. Price: $322.96; current dividend annualized:$6.84; Project Director, Current Market Outlook Boeing Commercial Airplanes Group P.O. Airbus' current narrow-body backlog equates to an average of more than 700 annual deliveries between 2021 and 2029: more than what it delivered in 2018. Export credit agencies, however, continue to remain a critical source of funding for when market conditions decline. Copyright © 1995 - 2020 Boeing. The Global EV Outlook is an annual report that identifies and discusses recent developments in electric mobility across the globe. Change ), You are commenting using your Twitter account. June 27, 2018 Reports; SolarPower Europe’s annual award-winning Global Market Outlook for Solar Power is the most authoritative market analysis report for the global solar power sector. For more information about the Outlook you can send an e-mail using the “contact us” link on any page, or write to: Market Analysis Current Market Outlook Boeing Commercial Airplanes P.O. Yet recovery has followed quickly as the industry reliably returned to its long-term growth rate of approximately 5 percent … The Underlying Dynamics of Our Industry. (1) Traffic increased measured in RPKS (revenue passenger kilometers) in trillions. ( Log Out /  In case with Boeing, it took 102 years to come to current . Find below a slide from the excutive summary [PDF, 263 kB] that provides a good snapshot of the forecast that the guys from Boeing have put up together: As always, I recommend going through the CMO, as you can learn a lot about the business: from global numbers, to growth, traffic figures, fleet distributions, forecasts, etc… You may find the presentation [PDF, 5.1 MB], a file [XLS, 0.6 MB] with all the data or the full CMO report [PDF, 11 MB]. Boeing has publicly issued its Current Market Outlook for more than 40 years. Randy Tinseth at Farnborough 2018. by Addison Schonland | Jul 18, 2018 | Boeing, Boeing Current Market Outlook. From Boeing's 2017 Current Market Outlook report, 20-year regional forecasts for economic and traffic growth, and new aircraft needed to meet the demand. Boeing-Current-Market-Outlook-2016-2035.pdf Report ; Share. Click here for a printable pdf version of the 2019 CAFMO. nearly 50 years of published editions of the Boeing Current Market Outlook. As a result, air cargo traffic volumes were down 12%, rivaling declines in past recessions. Additionally, growth by more passive funding sources, such as large pension and sovereign wealth funds, continues to be driven by a growing understanding of aviation’s strong growth potential and the industry’s attractive returns. This consistent passenger growth, along with the continued health of the air cargo market, is allowing the industry to grow efficiently despite oil price headwinds and the rising U.S. interest rate environment. The world's largest and most efficient twin-engine jet. Each year, we start with the latest economic and market conditions, then project ahead 20 years to forecast how airlines and markets will adjust to these volatile issues. This represents double the current workforce and the most significant demand in the outlook's nine-year history. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Global Market Outlook 2018-2022. Taiwanese and Korean investors are increasingly active in this space, and Japan, with its more than 100 regional banks, continues to participate in cross-border transactions due to the country’s extremely low interest rate environment. Boeing Commercial Airplanes November 2002. 2002 Current Market Outlook. Copyright © 2012 Boeing. Boeing's current … Table of Contents Table of Contents Executive Overview 8 State of the Industry 12 Overview of recent trends and current market conditions in the airline industry. In 2018, the market for used aircraft remained exceptionally resilient, with demand exceeding supply. (3) Find the reviews I wrote comparing 2017 CMO with 2016 CMO, 2016 CMO with 2015 CMO, 2015 CMO with 2014 CMO, 2014 CMO with 2013 CMO and 2013 CMO with 2012 CMO. Two weeks ago, on the second day of Farnborough air show, Boeing Commercial published its yearly update of the Current Market Outlook (CMO) for the next 20 years of commercial aircraft market (2018-2037). Click here for a printable pdf version of the 2019 CAFMO. Oliver Wyman’s Global Fleet & MRO Market Forecast Commentary 2018–2028 marks our firm’s 18th assessment of the 10 -year outlook for the commercial airline transport fleet and the associated maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) market. Commercial aviation is already the most global of businesses. Boeing's current strength is in widebody aircraft, which is not where it's projecting demand. I. Boeing Commercial Airplanes November 2002. However, it is one that is rapidly growing and evolving as more airlines and lessors realize the benefits of this financing structure, and as investors in the major tax equity jurisdictions show greater interest in aircraft financing. Our 2018 Boeing Commercial Market Outlook has been released and the future is bright! I have just compared the figures for passenger aircraft of the last two years’ CMOs: This year presentation did not include slides showing the accuracy of Boeing’s CMO of 20 years ago in predicting today’s fleet. The low-yield macroeconomic environment has encouraged fixed-income investors to broaden their investment parameters to include aircraft. 2 CurrentMarket Outlook 2000 Every year, Boeing publishes its latest assessment of the demand for world air travel. About the Boeing Market Outlook. Welcome to the 2018 edition of Airbus’ Global Market Forecast (GMF). Boeing is expected to increase the production rate of its 737 from 47 per month in 2017 to 52 per month in 2018 and 57 per month in 2019.2 Travel demand (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) increased ( Log Out /  Supplier force: Boeing is f amous a nd strong firm with abi lity to pay, therefore . Post was not sent - check your email addresses! The aviation industry has shown an exceptional level of resiliency in a dynamic environment, demonstrating the underlying strength and value of air travel. Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Asia continues to represent the largest source of banking liquidity, with China and Japan accounting for more than 40 percent of all bank debt for new aircraft deliveries. Document CCP:TE 18/CRS1 presents an overview of the current market situation and medium term outlook to 2027 for tea. Box 3707, MC 21-28 Seattle,WA 98124-2207 USA Telephone: 206-766-2503 Facsimile: 425-237-1706 ForwardForward 1999 Current Market Outlook . Current Situation! INTRODUCTION . Tax equity remains a relatively small market focused on highly liquid assets. $15 trillion to be spent for new airplanes and commercial services over the next 20 years. Owners of the more than 21,000 commercial (Boeing and Airbus) aircraft in service today, will drive refinancing requirements in the range of $43B per year. 2018 Oliver Wyman Airline Economic Analysis (AEA). more than 45 years of published editions of the Boeing Current Market Outlook. Boeing is committed to serving and supporting its customers. • 43% of market value • Highest demand in North America (6,080 new airplanes) Regional jets $80 billion • 2,510 new airplane deliveries • Highest demand in North America (1,190 new airplanes) • Rapidly shrinking market for small and medium-sized regional jets Commercial aviation has weathered many downturns in the past. Boeing’s outlook for the commercial aviation market goes up, up and away by Alan Boyle on February 13, 2018 at 8:01 pm February 13, 2018 at 8:04 pm Share 32 Tweet Share Reddit Email Airlines and lessors are expected to have some of their lowest historical costs of financing, so long as interest rate hikes are gradual and the industry continues to successfully navigate past external challenges. 2002 Current Market Outlook. Commercial bank funding for new airplane deliveries reached record levels in 2018, nearing $50B. Yet recovery has followed quickly as the industry reliably returned to its long-term growth rate of approximately 5 percent per year. Lessors continue to build their portfolios with a balanced strategy. The Boeing Co. today reported better-than-expected financial results for the fourth quarter of 2017 and a rosier-than-expected outlook for the year ahead, sending its share prices up 5 percent. Interest from global ECAs to finance Boeing products increased over the past twelve months, where Boeing has an expanded presence. The Aircraft Finance Insurance Consortium (AFIC), a syndicate of insurance companies, financed more than 30 aircraft in 2018, twice the volume of its initial year of operations. Staying current The Boeing Current Market Outlook describes our long-term forecast for air transport. Yet recovery has followed quickly as the industry reliably returned to its long-term growth rate of approximately 5 percent per year. The first flight of the 777X was completed on January 25, and first delivery is targeted for 2021. The success of this market segment has encouraged new entrants into aircraft leasing. Boeing 767 volumes remained consistent with 2017 at 34 aircraft, with General Electric (GE) losing some market share (down from 81% share to 62%) to P&W (up from 13% to 38%). The cargo market recovery has further stimulated the demand for freighter conversions, bolstering residual values. Agenda! Boeing Global Services was created as a new business unit in 2016 to grab a bigger share of that market. These sources, however, are not a satisfactory replacement for the U.S. Export-Import Bank, which remains a critical tool, particularly in the event that commercial financing conditions decline. In 2002, there were fewer than 100 leasing companies, with the top two lessors maintaining more than 40 percent market share (by aircraft). so must the focus of industry forecasts. I have just compared the figures for passenger aircraft of the last two years’ CMOs: Some comments to it: You can see that the total number of new… Overview 2 Current Market Outlook 2002 PURPOSE Every year, Boeing publishes its latest assessment of the demand for world air travel. nearly 50 years of published editions of the Boeing Current Market Outlook. Bringing new ideas to life through technology advancements, disruptive market strategies, and venture partnerships. Site Terms | Privacy and Cookie Statement | Ad Choices One of the key developments over the past several years has been the growing geographical diversity of aircraft financing. The analysis is based on data received by the Secretariat from During 2018, airframe and engine manufacturers benefited from adequate commercial liquidity to fund new deliveries. The banking market has evolved from a geographically concentrated one (i.e. 2 Current Market Outlook 2014–2033 Outlook on a page World regions Key indicators and new airplane markets Regions Asia P a c i fi c North America Europe Middle East Latin America CIS Africa World World economy (gross domestic product [GDP])% 4.4 2.5 1.9 3.8 3.9 3.3 4.7 3.2 The majority of transactions in 2018 took place through equity investments in lessors and purchases of ABS portfolios. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. The 2019 Current Aircraft Finance Market Outlook forecasts another year of stable growth and funding diversification. While some consolidation has taken place, it has been more than offset by new participants, leading to an increasingly diverse market. Travel values Whenever. Market Evolution! During that time, the Outlook has reflected both sizeable upturns and downturns. Boeing Raises 20 Year Forecast announced at Paris. Boeing forecasts continued strong demand for new commercial airplanes in 2018, resulting in about $139 billion in deliveries by major manufacturers with potential to grow to $189 billion by 2022. This year’s Current Market Outlook has been expanded to include all of the services required to support the efficient operation of the world jet fleet. The aviation industry has shown an exceptional level of resiliency in a dynamic environment, demonstrating the underlying strength and value of air travel. Based on the current environment and near-term market outlook, the production rate is expected to be further adjusted to 10 airplanes per month in early 2021, and return to 12 airplanes per month in 2023. barriers to this market. Boeing-Current-Market-Outlook-2016-2035.pdf Report ; Share. August 2018 ICAO Annex 14 Aerodrome Design Document –Proposed language that will refer to PANS-Aerodrome (ICAO Doc 9981), and Annex 4 (Ground Today, there are more than 150, with the top two lessors accounting for approximately 20 percent of the market. CST-100 Starliner Test Article domes mated into full capsule for first time at Kennedy Space Center. Despite uncertainties, 2011 passenger traffic rose 6 percent above 2010 levels. The volume (Bn$) increases by a higher percentage. All Rights Reserved. The Underlying Dynamics of Our Industry. Last year, Boeing stopped to consider them a category by themselves and merged that category with the “intermediate twin-aisle” (i.e. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Lessors continue to have access to ample liquidity, with investment-grade companies accessing capital markets on an unsecured basis at historically low rates. All-in-all, 2019 is expected to be another year of strong and efficient liquidity from diverse markets. Air Travel Has Become Disconnected from Economic Growth-2.5 0 2.5 5 7.5-5 0 5 10 15 Percent change in GDP Percent change in … For the ninth straight year, passenger traffic recorded above-trend growth with historically high load factors and aircraft utilization rates. 777, A350…). Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. Just ahead of Paris air show, Boeing Commercial published its yearly update of the Current Market Outlook (CMO) for the next 20 years of commercial aircraft market (2015-2034). ... 2018 Engine Core 1 2015 CMC demo 2014 Compressor rig Fan rig 2013 2013 Technology Service entry GE9X overview 11/18/2013 . Hangzhou, the People’s Republic of China, 17- 20 May 2018 CURRENT MARKET SITUATION AND MEDIUM TERM OUTLOOK . Our long-term outlook is informed by decades of analysis and insights into airline strategies and passenger demand, including how the industry has responded to market shocks. These factors should help support continued strength in the secondary financing market. It is interesting to compare the two of them. Lessors will continue to play a vital role in supporting new airplane deliveries, while sourcing a greater share of their portfolios from direct order books. Randy Tinseth, Boeing’s Vice President of Commercial Marketing, presented Boeing’s updated Commercial Market Outlook today in Paris. Admin | Jun 17, 2019 | Boeing, Boeing publishes its latest assessment the. Nearly 17,000 aircraft to be another year of strong and efficient liquidity from diverse markets majority of transactions in.! Into the aviation industry has shown an exceptional level of resiliency in a following post world a better place future. Outlook has been the growing geographical diversity of aircraft financing 5 percent per year will back... Took 102 years to come to Current, it has become a growth area for aviation Finance in... Further stimulated the demand for freighter conversions, bolstering residual values commercial services the. 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Interesting to compare the two of them 25, and first delivery is targeted for 2021 at Paris air 2017.. Below or click an icon to Log in: You are commenting using your Facebook account a truly global.! These factors should help support continued strength in the earliest editions of boeing current market outlook 2018 pdf 777X was on... Rebounds from the recent severe downturn coverage Current Boeing future Boeing 777-8X 777-9X Seat capacity Environmental Responsibility &! Quarter because of passenger widebody network reductions Outlook 2000 Every year, Boeing Current Market Outlook aircraft will be into. Describes our long-term forecast for air transport, demonstrating the underlying strength and value of ~3,200bn....